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National Trends

Table 1 shows that the average metro area in the nation, weighting for population size, enjoyed increasing prosperity, with the mean MPI rising from .25 to .80. (This means that for the average indicator used in the index, values rose by more than half of a standard deviation.) To illustrate the magnitude of improvement, Table 1 lists values of the three income components of the MPI. These reveal how different segments of the population fared:
  • Per capita income is the total income divided by the total number of persons in the metro area. It is especially sensitive to increases in the incomes of the very wealthy. On average, per capita income increased by 12.8%.
  • Median household income is the income of the household in the very middle of the income distribution, the “typical” household. It increased about half as much as per capita income (6.7%). In other words, average Americans experienced some gains, but not as much as the wealthy.
  • Percent below the poverty line is based on the number of persons in households whose income is below that designated as “poor” by the federal government. The poverty rate in the average metro area declined only slightly (just under .3%).

Table 1. Economic Prosperity in the Nation and by Region

 

Mumford
Prosperity Index

Per capita
Income

Median
Income

Percent
Below Poverty

 

2000

1990

2000

1990

2000

1990

2000

1990

National

.80

.25

$22,729

$19,911

$45,418

$42,382

11.84

12.12

Change

(+.55)

(+$2,818)

(+3,036)

(-.28)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Northeast

.94

.48

$24,492

$21,951

$47,775

$46,428

11.39

10.44

Change

(+.46)

(+$2,541)

(+1,347)

(+.95)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Midwest

.97

.28

$22,830

$19,158

$45,840

$41,489

9.91

11.40

Change

(+.69)

(+$3,672)

(+4,351)

(-1.49)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

South

.67

.05

$21,613

$18,526

$42,234

$38,418

12.67

13.86

Change

(+.62)

(+$3,087)

(+3,816)

(-1.19)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

West

.72

.28

$22,634

$20,517

$47,372

$44,696

12.75

12.07

Change

(+.44)

(+$2,117)

(+2,676)

(+.68)

Source: Lewis Mumford Center, 2002

There was strong improvement in educational levels, with the college-educated increasing from 22.2% to 26.6% of the over-25 population. More dramatically, the share working in professional and managerial jobs grew from 27.7% to 35.0%. It is surprising, in light of this remarkable upgrading of the quality of the labor force, that the average household did not experience greater income gains. To some extent this is the result of people’s needing higher qualifications to earn about the same wages as they earned in 1990.

But the opportunity to work improved slightly, evidenced by a fall in the percent unemployed from 6.1% to 5.7%. There were also small gains in the housing market: a decline in the average vacancy rate from 8.2% to 7.0% and an increase in homeownership from 62.0% to 64.1%.

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